Pittsburgh
W-L: (31-25) PR = 96.3654Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 12- 4 214 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 5- 7 215 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 17- 7 220 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 6-14 221 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 14- 0 222 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 4- 6, 93.9) 2- 5 225 H Bucknell PAT ( 4- 6, 90.3) 18- 3 227 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 14- 6 228 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 7- 1 228 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 14- 2 304 A Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 16-10 306 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 20-16 307 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 13- 8 308 A San José State MW (12-11, 94.4) 3- 2 310 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 4 313 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 7- 9 314 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 11-10 315 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 10- 5 320 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 9-11 321 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 14- 4 322 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 4-12 324 A Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 13- 4 325 H Youngstown State HL ( 2-10, 92.1) 8- 7 327 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 4- 3 328 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 5- 8 329 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 13- 7 331 H Mercyhurst NE ( 0- 1, 83.0) 27- 3 403 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 2- 8 404 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 8-22 405 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 4- 3 408 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 12- 2 410 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 1-11 411 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 6-14 412 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2-13 417 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 6-11 418 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 5- 4 419 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 5- 6 421 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 23- 1 424 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 7- 5 425 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 11- 0 426 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 7- 3 429 A Milwaukee HL ( 9-14, 94.0) 5- 2 501 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 0- 5 502 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 1-10 502 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5- 8 503 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 4- 6 508 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 1- 4 509 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2-12 510 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3- 7 512 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 11- 7 514 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 6- 6 515 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4-10 516 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 10-21 519 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 16- 8 520 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 7- 4 522 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 8- 6 523 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Western Michigan 12- 4 8 5 + 3.47
214 H Western Michigan 5- 7 -2 5 --- -6.53
215 H Western Michigan 17- 7 10 5 ++ 5.47
220 A LSU 6-14 -8 -1 --- -6.68
221 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 0 14 3 +++ 11.20
222 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.82
225 H Bucknell 18- 3 15 7 +++ 7.28
227 H UNC Greensboro 14- 6 8 5 + 2.90
228 H UNC Greensboro 7- 1 6 5 0.90
228 H UNC Greensboro 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.90
304 A Western Carolina 16-10 6 2 + 3.62
306 H Georgia Tech 20-16 4 -3 +++ 6.86
307 A San José State 13- 8 5 1 + 3.69
308 A San José State 3- 2 1 1 -0.31
310 A Santa Clara 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.30
313 A Stanford 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.13
314 A Stanford 11-10 1 1 -0.13
315 A Stanford 10- 5 5 1 + 3.87
320 H Georgia Tech 9-11 -2 -3 0.86
321 A Oklahoma 14- 4 10 -1 +++ 11.37
322 H Georgia Tech 4-12 -8 -3 -- -5.14
324 A Kent State 13- 4 9 1 +++ 8.45
325 H Youngstown State 8- 7 1 5 - -3.91
327 A Louisville 4- 3 1 -1 1.51
328 A Louisville 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.49
329 A Louisville 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 6.51
331 H Mercyhurst 27- 3 24 14 0.00
403 H Wake Forest 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.77
404 H Wake Forest 8-22 -14 0 --- -13.77
405 H Wake Forest 4- 3 1 0 1.23
408 A Marshall 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.77
410 A Washington 1-11 -10 2 --- -11.81
411 H California 6-14 -8 2 --- -9.91
412 H California 2-13 -11 2 --- -12.91
417 A Virginia Tech 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.40
418 A Virginia Tech 5- 4 1 0 0.60
419 A Virginia Tech 5- 6 -1 0 -1.40
421 A West Virginia 23- 1 22 -2 +++ 16.46
424 H Virginia 7- 5 2 1 1.06
425 H Virginia 11- 0 11 1 +++ 10.06
426 H Virginia 7- 3 4 1 + 3.06
429 A Milwaukee 5- 2 3 2 1.28
501 A Alabama 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.61
502 A Florida State 1-10 -9 -1 --- -7.71
502 A Florida State 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.71
503 A Florida State 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.71
508 A North Carolina 1- 4 -3 -3 0.11
509 A North Carolina 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.89
510 A North Carolina 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.89
512 H Penn State 11- 7 4 5 -1.33
514 A Miami of Florida 6- 6 0 0 -0.04
515 A Liberty 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.54
516 H Notre Dame 10-21 -11 1 --- -12.15
519 A Louisville 16- 8 8 -1 +++ 8.51
520 A Wake Forest 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.58
522 A Florida State 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.29
523 A North Carolina 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Western Michigan 5- 7 -2 5 --- -6.53 220 A LSU 6-14 -8 -1 --- -6.68 404 H Wake Forest 8-22 -14 0 --- -13.77 410 A Washington 1-11 -10 2 --- -11.81 411 H California 6-14 -8 2 --- -9.91 412 H California 2-13 -11 2 --- -12.91 502 A Florida State 1-10 -9 -1 --- -7.71 509 A North Carolina 2-12 -10 -3 --- -6.89 516 H Notre Dame 10-21 -11 1 --- -12.15 222 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.82 322 H Georgia Tech 4-12 -8 -3 -- -5.14 403 H Wake Forest 2- 8 -6 0 -- -5.77 417 A Virginia Tech 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.40 515 A Liberty 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.54 523 A North Carolina 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.89 310 A Santa Clara 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.30 313 A Stanford 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.13 325 H Youngstown State 8- 7 1 5 - -3.91 328 A Louisville 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.49 501 A Alabama 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Cal State Bakersfield 14- 0 14 3 +++ 11.20 225 H Bucknell 18- 3 15 7 +++ 7.28 228 H UNC Greensboro 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.90 306 H Georgia Tech 20-16 4 -3 +++ 6.86 321 A Oklahoma 14- 4 10 -1 +++ 11.37 324 A Kent State 13- 4 9 1 +++ 8.45 329 A Louisville 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 6.51 408 A Marshall 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.77 421 A West Virginia 23- 1 22 -2 +++ 16.46 425 H Virginia 11- 0 11 1 +++ 10.06 519 A Louisville 16- 8 8 -1 +++ 8.51 215 H Western Michigan 17- 7 10 5 ++ 5.47 520 A Wake Forest 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.58 213 H Western Michigan 12- 4 8 5 + 3.47 227 H UNC Greensboro 14- 6 8 5 + 2.90 304 A Western Carolina 16-10 6 2 + 3.62 307 A San José State 13- 8 5 1 + 3.69 315 A Stanford 10- 5 5 1 + 3.87 426 H Virginia 7- 3 4 1 + 3.06 522 A Florida State 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 12- 4 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.51 10.52
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 5- 7 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.51 -2.05
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 17- 7 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.51 10.52
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 6-14 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.51 -0.56
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 14- 0 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.51 12.27
3 A Texas A&M-Corp ( 4- 6, 93.9) 2- 5 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.51 -1.36
3 H Bucknell ( 4- 6, 90.3) 18- 3 -9.58 8.84 -0.68 0.51 8.29
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 14- 6 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 0.51 9.93
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 7- 1 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 0.51 9.93
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 14- 2 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 0.51 9.93
3 A Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 16-10 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.51 12.70
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 20-16 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.51 18.01
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 13- 8 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.51 13.79
3 A San José Stat (12-11, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.52 12.91 0.68 0.51 13.79
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.51 11.91 0.68 0.51 -1.48
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 7- 9 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.51 -1.18
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 11-10 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.51 13.96
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 10- 5 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.51 13.96
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 9-11 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.51 -0.17
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 14- 4 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.51 16.50
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 4-12 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.51 -0.17
3 A Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 13- 4 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.51 14.55
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 2-10, 92.1) 8- 7 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.51 10.13
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.51 15.63
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 5- 8 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.51 -0.77
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 13- 7 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.51 15.63
3 H Mercyhurst ( 0- 1, 83.0) 27- 3 -16.86 1.57 -0.68 0.51 0.90
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 2- 8 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.51 -0.84
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 8-22 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.51 -0.84
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 4- 3 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.51 15.34
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 12- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.51 12.85
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 1-11 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.51 -1.36
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 6-14 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.51 -1.38
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2-13 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.51 -1.38
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 6-11 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.51 -1.00
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 5- 4 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.51 14.71
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 5- 6 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.51 -1.00
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 23- 1 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.51 17.61
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 7- 5 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.51 14.16
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 11- 0 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.51 14.16
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 7- 3 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.51 14.16
3 A Milwaukee ( 9-14, 94.0) 5- 2 -5.93 12.50 0.68 0.51 13.37
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 0- 5 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.51 -0.54
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 1-10 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.51 -0.57
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 5- 8 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.51 -0.57
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 4- 6 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.51 -0.57
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 1- 4 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2-12 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 3- 7 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 11- 7 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.51 9.70
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 6- 6 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.51 0.00
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 4-10 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.51 -0.78
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 10-21 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.51 -1.19
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 16- 8 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.51 15.63
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 7- 4 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.51 16.71
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 8- 6 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.51 16.42
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 5-13 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.51 -0.11
------
385.59
|
winning pts = 405.7699 losing points = -20.1798
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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